Sat 31 Oct, 21:00 CET at Spotify Camp Nou. Alavés visit Barcelona in La Liga Jornada 11. Barcelona are 1st on 27 points from 10 games (form WWWWL); Alavés are 7th on 12 from 10 (form LDLLD). Figures refreshed 2026-10-26.
Barcelona: what changed
Barcelona have scored 40 and conceded 11 in 10 league games (9W 0D 1L, goal difference +29). Last time out it was L 1–2 v Real Madrid. At home they have 12 points from 5 games. Their last league XI lined up in a 4-3-3; next up is the visit of Alavés.
Barcelona Predicted Starting XI & Lineup · 4-3-3
Official lineups confirmed 1 hour before kick-off.
Alavés: the story so far
Alavés have scored 14 and conceded 11 in 10 league games (3W 3D 4L, goal difference +3). Last time out it was D 1–1 v Málaga. Away from home they have 2 points from 4 games. Their last league XI lined up in a 5-3-2; next up is a trip to face Barcelona.
Season snapshot
- Last three for Barcelona, oldest first: W 3–0 v Getafe, W 5–2 at Real Betis, L 1–2 v Real Madrid.
- Last three for Alavés, oldest first: L 1–2 v Atlético Madrid, L 1–2 at Celta Vigo, D 1–1 v Málaga.
- Table before this round: Barcelona 1st (27 pts, GD +29), Alavés 7th (12 pts, GD +3).
The deciding factor
Barcelona (4-3-3 last time out) against Alavés (5-3-2) comes down to which defence gives way first: Barcelona have conceded 11 in 10, Alavés 11 in 10. Goals scored point the other way: 40 for Barcelona, 14 for Alavés.
Fantasy angle
- Predicted lineups below are each club's actual starting XI from their last league match (Barcelona: L 1–2 v Real Madrid, Alavés: D 1–1 v Málaga). Official lineups appear about an hour before kick-off.
- Barcelona are 1st and Alavés 7th, so use the table gap as a guide to who is most likely to hold clean-sheet and goalscorer value.
- Barcelona scorers in their last league game: Raphinha (61').
- Alavés scorers in their last league game: Aitor Mañas (89').
- For Barcelona v Alavés, open Predictor for the scoreline or La Liga Team Draft for the jornada.
Verdict
Our model, built on 2026/27 goals scored and conceded, gives Barcelona a 76% win chance, a draw 14% and Alavés 10%, with 2–1 the most likely single scoreline. Expected goals: 3.0 for Barcelona, 1.0 for Alavés. Barcelona are clear favourites on the numbers, with the games played so far it is a guide, not a certainty.