Arsenal host Hull City at Emirates Stadium, London on Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 GMT, Premier League Gameweek 10. After Gameweek 8, Arsenal are 2nd on 21 points from 8 (form WLWWW) and Hull City are 10th on 10 (form DLDLD). Lock any Arsenal or Hull City pick before the FPL deadline, Friday 6 November 2026, 18:30 GMT.
Arsenal: the story so far
Arsenal have scored 13 and conceded 5 in 8 league games, and in GW8 it finished W 2–0 v Everton. At home they have 12 points from 4 games. Official FPL list, 2026-10-26: Calafiori (hip injury: 75% chance of playing); Saka (thigh injury: Unknown return date); Tzolis (hamstring injury: Expected back 1 Nov). Expected shape: 4-5-1.
Arsenal Predicted Starting XI & Lineup · 4-5-1
Official lineups confirmed 1 hour before kick-off.
Hull City: form check
Hull City have scored 9 and conceded 8 in 8 league games, and in GW8 it finished D 1–1 v Brentford. Away from home they have 4 points from 4 games. Official FPL list, 2026-10-26: Mendy (groin injury: Expected back 31 Oct); Targett (ankle injury: Unknown return date). Expected shape: 5-4-1.
By the numbers
- Arsenal: W 2–1 v Leeds United, W 1–0 at Nottingham Forest, W 2–0 v Everton.
- Hull City: D 2–2 v Everton, L 0–1 at Fulham, D 1–1 v Brentford.
- Table after GW8: Arsenal 2nd (21 pts, GD +8), Hull City 10th (10 pts, GD +1).
Where it turns
Declan Rice against Hull City's defence is the matchup to watch: Hull City have conceded 8 in 8. In the other direction, Mohamed Belloumi faces the Arsenal defence that has conceded 5 in 8. FPL rates this fixture 2/5 for Arsenal and 5/5 for Hull City, where 5 is hardest.
FPL picks to watch
- Declan Rice (Arsenal, £7.4m): averaging 4.9 points a game (39 in total), FPL projects 6.3 for this round, 12.5% owned.
- Mohamed Belloumi (Hull City, £5.2m): averaging 5.4 points a game (43 in total), FPL projects 4.0 for this round, 9.4% owned.
- Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal, £6.8m): averaging 4.5 points a game (36 in total), FPL projects 2.3 for this round, 17.9% owned.
- Clean-sheet angle: Gabriel (Arsenal, £7.9m) at home, with Arsenal the side our model rates less likely to concede (0.7 expected goals against).
- Differential: Benjamin White (Arsenal, £5.4m) is owned by just 4.5% and averages 6.0 points a game.
- Play Arsenal v Hull City free: predict the score in Predictor, or name them in a Gameweek Fantasy XI.
Verdict
Our model, built on 2026/27 goals scored and conceded, gives Arsenal a 54% win chance, a draw 28% and Hull City 18%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline. Expected goals: 1.4 for Arsenal, 0.7 for Hull City. Arsenal are the lean on the numbers, but only 8 games have been played, so treat it as a guide rather than a certainty.