Brentford host Nottingham Forest at Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford in Gameweek 9 on Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 GMT. Brentford are 6th on 10 points from 7 games after Gameweek 7 (form DDWDL), Nottingham Forest are 19th on 5 (form DWLLL). The FPL deadline is Saturday 31 October 2026, 11:00 GMT, so check team news before you lock your squad.
Brentford: what changed
Brentford have scored 13 and conceded 8 in 7 league games, and in GW7 it finished L 1โ2 v Liverpool. At home they have 7 points from 4 games. Official FPL list, 2026-10-24: Janelt (suspended until 31 Oct); Furo (unspecified injury: Unknown return date); Schuster (ankle injury: 75% chance of playing); Yarmoliuk (suspended until 8 Nov). Expected shape: 4-5-1.
Brentford Predicted Starting XI & Lineup ยท 4-5-1
Official lineups confirmed 1 hour before kick-off.
Nottingham Forest: the story so far
Nottingham Forest have scored 5 and conceded 9 in 7 league games, and in GW7 it finished L 0โ1 v Arsenal. Away from home they have 4 points from 3 games. Official FPL list, 2026-10-24: N.Williams (arm injury: 75% chance of playing); Igor Jesus (calf injury: Unknown return date). Expected shape: 5-4-1.
By the numbers
- Brentford: W 3โ0 v Chelsea, D 2โ2 at Aston Villa, L 1โ2 v Liverpool.
- Nottingham Forest: L 0โ1 v Coventry City, L 1โ3 at Crystal Palace, L 0โ1 v Arsenal.
- Table after GW7: Brentford 6th (10 pts, GD +5), Nottingham Forest 19th (5 pts, GD -4).
The deciding factor
Kevin Schade against Nottingham Forest's defence is the matchup to watch: Nottingham Forest have conceded 9 in 7. In the other direction, Morgan Gibbs-White faces the Brentford defence that has conceded 8 in 7. FPL rates this fixture 3/5 for Brentford and 3/5 for Nottingham Forest, where 5 is hardest.
FPL picks to watch
- Kevin Schade (Brentford, ยฃ6.2m): averaging 5.7 points a game (40 in total), FPL projects 0.3 for this round, 15.1% owned.
- Morgan Gibbs-White (Nottingham Forest, ยฃ7.9m): averaging 4.6 points a game (32 in total), FPL projects 1.3 for this round, 12.3% owned, on penalties.
- Keane Lewis-Potter (Brentford, ยฃ5.5m): averaging 4.7 points a game (33 in total), FPL projects 3.7 for this round, 1.9% owned.
- Clean-sheet angle: Kristoffer Ajer (Brentford, ยฃ4.5m) at home, with Brentford the side our model rates less likely to concede (0.7 expected goals against).
- Differential: Kristoffer Ajer (Brentford, ยฃ4.5m) is owned by just 4.2% and averages 4.3 points a game.
Verdict
Our model, built on 2026/27 goals scored and conceded, gives Brentford a 62% win chance, a draw 23% and Nottingham Forest 15%, with 1โ0 the single most likely scoreline. Expected goals: 1.8 for Brentford, 0.7 for Nottingham Forest. Brentford are clear favourites on the numbers, but only 7 games have been played, so treat it as a guide rather than a certainty.