Barcelona host Real Madrid at Spotify Camp Nou on Sun 25 Oct, 22:00 CEST in Matchday 10 of the 2026/27 La Liga season. Barcelona are 1st on 27 points from 9 games (form WWWWW), Real Madrid are 3rd on 21 from 9 (form WWLWW). Updated 2026-10-21.
Barcelona: the story so far
Barcelona have scored 39 and conceded 9 in 9 league games (9W 0D 0L, goal difference +30). Last time out it was W 5–2 at Real Betis. At home they have 12 points from 4 games. Their last league XI lined up in a 4-2-3-1; next up is the visit of Real Madrid.
Barcelona Predicted Starting XI & Lineup · 4-2-3-1
Official lineups confirmed 1 hour before kick-off.
Real Madrid: form check
Real Madrid have scored 23 and conceded 9 in 9 league games (7W 0D 2L, goal difference +14). Last time out it was W 4–1 v Sevilla. Away from home they have 6 points from 4 games. Their last league XI lined up in a 4-2-3-1; next up is a trip to face Barcelona.
Facts to know
- Last three for Barcelona, oldest first: W 3–1 at Sevilla, W 3–0 v Getafe, W 5–2 at Real Betis.
- Last three for Real Madrid, oldest first: L 1–2 at Atlético Madrid, W 1–0 v Villarreal, W 4–1 v Sevilla.
- Table before this round: Barcelona 1st (27 pts, GD +30), Real Madrid 3rd (21 pts, GD +14).
Where it turns
Barcelona (4-2-3-1 last time out) against Real Madrid (4-2-3-1) comes down to which defence gives way first: Barcelona have conceded 9 in 9, Real Madrid 9 in 9. Goals scored point the other way: 39 for Barcelona, 23 for Real Madrid.
Fantasy angle
- Predicted lineups below are each club's actual starting XI from their last league match (Barcelona: W 5–2 at Real Betis, Real Madrid: W 4–1 v Sevilla). Official lineups appear about an hour before kick-off.
- Barcelona are 1st and Real Madrid 3rd, so use the table gap as a guide to who is most likely to hold clean-sheet and goalscorer value.
- Barcelona scorers in their last league game: Lamine Yamal (10'), Rodri (41'), Gabriel Jesus (51'), Eric García (62'), Dani Olmo (81').
- Real Madrid scorers in their last league game: Arda Güler (30'), Kylian Mbappé (37', 63'), Yan Diomande (82').
Our call
Our model, built on 2026/27 goals scored and conceded, gives Barcelona a 66% win chance, a draw 16% and Real Madrid 18%, with 2–1 the most likely single scoreline. Expected goals: 3.0 for Barcelona, 1.6 for Real Madrid. Barcelona are clear favourites on the numbers, but with about eight games played it is a guide, not a certainty.