Manchester United host Aston Villa at Old Trafford, Manchester on Sun 8 Nov, 16:30 GMT, Premier League Gameweek 10. After Gameweek 8, Manchester United are 16th on 7 points from 8 (form LDDDL) and Aston Villa are 9th on 11 (form LWDWW). Lock any Manchester United or Aston Villa pick before the FPL deadline, Friday 6 November 2026, 18:30 GMT.
Manchester United: the story so far
Manchester United have scored 10 and conceded 13 in 8 league games, and in GW8 it finished L 0–3 v AFC Bournemouth. At home they have 4 points from 4 games. Official FPL list, 2026-10-26: Shaw (unspecified injury: Unknown return date); Rashford (hip injury: 75% chance of playing); Mainoo (unspecified injury: Expected back 8 Nov); Šeško (shin injury: Unknown return date). Expected shape: 4-5-1.
Manchester United Predicted Starting XI & Lineup · 4-5-1
Official lineups confirmed 1 hour before kick-off.
Aston Villa: form check
Aston Villa have scored 9 and conceded 12 in 8 league games, and in GW8 it finished W 2–1 v Manchester City. Away from home they have 7 points from 4 games. Official FPL list, 2026-10-26: Wan-Bissaka (hamstring injury: Expected back 21 Nov). Expected shape: 4-5-1.
Facts to know
- Manchester United: D 1–1 v Tottenham Hotspur, D 1–1 at Leeds United, L 0–3 v AFC Bournemouth.
- Aston Villa: D 2–2 v Brentford, W 1–0 at Newcastle United, W 2–1 v Manchester City.
- Table after GW8: Manchester United 16th (7 pts, GD -3), Aston Villa 9th (11 pts, GD -3).
Where it turns
Bryan Mbeumo against Aston Villa's defence is the matchup to watch: Aston Villa have conceded 12 in 8. In the other direction, Johan Manzambi faces the Manchester United defence that has conceded 13 in 8. FPL rates this fixture 3/5 for Manchester United and 4/5 for Aston Villa, where 5 is hardest.
Fantasy angle
- Bryan Mbeumo (Manchester United, £7.9m): averaging 5.4 points a game (43 in total), FPL projects 6.0 for this round, 21.8% owned.
- Johan Manzambi (Aston Villa, £6.0m): averaging 6.2 points a game (31 in total), FPL projects 5.7 for this round, 3.8% owned.
- Nicolas Jackson (Aston Villa, £6.7m): averaging 4.9 points a game (34 in total), FPL projects 8.0 for this round, 7.7% owned.
- Clean-sheet angle: Senne Lammens (Manchester United, £4.9m) at home, with Manchester United the side our model rates less likely to concede (1.2 expected goals against).
- Differential: Zion Suzuki (Aston Villa, £5.0m) is owned by just 2.4% and averages 4.3 points a game.
- Play Manchester United v Aston Villa free: predict the score in Predictor, or name them in a Gameweek Fantasy XI.
Verdict
Our model, built on 2026/27 goals scored and conceded, gives Manchester United a 43% win chance, a draw 25% and Aston Villa 31%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline. Expected goals: 1.5 for Manchester United, 1.2 for Aston Villa. Manchester United are the lean on the numbers, but only 8 games have been played, so treat it as a guide rather than a certainty.