Alavés host Málaga at Mendizorrotza on Fri 23 Oct, 21:00 CEST in Matchday 10 of the 2026/27 La Liga season. Alavés are 7th on 11 points from 9 games (form LLDLL), Málaga are 20th on 4 from 9 (form DLLDL). Updated 2026-10-21.
Alavés: form check
Alavés have scored 13 and conceded 10 in 9 league games (3W 2D 4L, goal difference +3). Last time out it was L 1–2 at Celta Vigo. At home they have 9 points from 5 games. Their last league XI lined up in a 5-3-2; next up is the visit of Málaga.
Alavés Predicted Starting XI & Lineup · 5-3-2
Official lineups confirmed 1 hour before kick-off.
Málaga: what changed
Málaga have scored 6 and conceded 18 in 9 league games (0W 4D 5L, goal difference -12). Last time out it was L 2–5 v Real Sociedad. Away from home they have 1 points from 4 games. Their last league XI lined up in a 4-4-2; next up is a trip to face Alavés.
Season snapshot
- Last three for Alavés, oldest first: D 0–0 at Athletic Club, L 1–2 v Atlético Madrid, L 1–2 at Celta Vigo.
- Last three for Málaga, oldest first: L 0–1 at Getafe, D 1–1 v Espanyol, L 2–5 v Real Sociedad.
- Table before this round: Alavés 7th (11 pts, GD +3), Málaga 20th (4 pts, GD -12).
The deciding factor
Alavés (5-3-2 last time out) against Málaga (4-4-2) comes down to which defence gives way first: Alavés have conceded 10 in 9, Málaga 18 in 9. Goals scored point the other way: 13 for Alavés, 6 for Málaga.
FPL picks to watch
- Predicted lineups below are each club's actual starting XI from their last league match (Alavés: L 1–2 at Celta Vigo, Málaga: L 2–5 v Real Sociedad). Official lineups appear about an hour before kick-off.
- Alavés are 7th and Málaga 20th, so use the table gap as a guide to who is most likely to hold clean-sheet and goalscorer value.
- Alavés scorers in their last league game: Hugo Novoa (87').
- Málaga scorers in their last league game: Adrián Niño (54'), Pablo Martínez (66').
Our call
Our model, built on 2026/27 goals scored and conceded, gives Alavés a 69% win chance, a draw 20% and Málaga 11%, with 1–0 the most likely single scoreline. Expected goals: 2.0 for Alavés, 0.6 for Málaga. Alavés are clear favourites on the numbers, but with about eight games played it is a guide, not a certainty.