Chelsea host Tottenham Hotspur at Stamford Bridge, London in Gameweek 8 on Sat 24 Oct, 17:30 BST. Chelsea are 4th on 13 points from 7 games (form LDLWW), Tottenham Hotspur are 16th on 6 (form DDLDW). The FPL deadline is Friday 23 October 2026, 18:30 BST, so check team news before you lock your squad.
Chelsea: team news
Chelsea have scored 17 and conceded 13 in 7 league games, and last time out it was W 2–0 at Everton in GW7. At home they have 7 points from 3 games. Official FPL list, 2026-10-21: Martinez (head injury: Unknown return date); James (knee injury: Unknown return date); Gusto (illness: 75% chance of playing); Chavarria (unspecified injury: 75% chance of playing). Expected shape: 4-5-1.
Chelsea Predicted Starting XI & Lineup · 4-5-1
Official lineups confirmed 1 hour before kick-off.
Tottenham Hotspur: what changed
Tottenham Hotspur have scored 6 and conceded 10 in 7 league games, and last time out it was W 3–1 v Coventry City in GW7. Away from home they have 2 points from 3 games. Official FPL list, 2026-10-21: Pedro Porro (hamstring injury: Expected back 24 Oct); Robertson (foot injury: 75% chance of playing); Marmoush (calf injury: 75% chance of playing); Sávio (muscular injury: Expected back 7 Nov); Bentancur (suspended until 7 Nov). Expected shape: 3-5-2.
2026/27 so far
- Chelsea: L 0–3 at Brentford, W 5–1 v AFC Bournemouth, W 2–0 at Everton.
- Tottenham Hotspur: L 2–3 v Aston Villa, D 1–1 at Manchester United, W 3–1 v Coventry City.
- Table before this round: Chelsea 4th (13 pts, GD +4), Tottenham Hotspur 16th (6 pts, GD -4).
The deciding factor
João Pedro against Tottenham Hotspur's defence is the matchup to watch: Tottenham Hotspur have conceded 10 in 7. In the other direction, Sandro Tonali faces the Chelsea defence that has conceded 13 in 7. FPL rates this fixture 2/5 for Chelsea and 4/5 for Tottenham Hotspur, where 5 is hardest.
FPL picks to watch
- João Pedro (Chelsea, £7.9m): averaging 7.8 points a game (47 in total), FPL projects 7.0 for this round, 72.8% owned.
- Sandro Tonali (Tottenham Hotspur, £5.3m): averaging 3.6 points a game (25 in total), FPL projects 5.5 for this round, 1.8% owned.
- Jordan Henderson (Chelsea, £4.9m): averaging 7.7 points a game (23 in total), FPL projects 10.5 for this round, 1.1% owned.
- Clean-sheet angle: Jorrel Hato (Chelsea, £4.5m) at home, with Chelsea the side our model rates less likely to concede (1.1 expected goals against).
- Differential: Pedro Neto (Chelsea, £6.5m) is owned by just 2.5% and averages 4.9 points a game.
Verdict
Our model, built on 2026/27 goals scored and conceded, gives Chelsea a 64% win chance, a draw 19% and Tottenham Hotspur 17%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline. Expected goals: 2.3 for Chelsea, 1.1 for Tottenham Hotspur. Chelsea are clear favourites on the numbers, but only 7 games have been played, so treat it as a guide rather than a certainty.