Arsenal host Everton at Emirates Stadium, London in Gameweek 8 on Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 BST. Arsenal are 2nd on 18 points from 7 games (form WWLWW), Everton are 8th on 10 (form DDWDL). The FPL deadline is Friday 23 October 2026, 18:30 BST, so check team news before you lock your squad.
Arsenal: team news
Arsenal have scored 11 and conceded 5 in 7 league games, and last time out it was W 1–0 at Nottingham Forest in GW7. At home they have 9 points from 3 games. Official FPL list, 2026-10-21: Tzolis (hamstring injury: Expected back 1 Nov); Hincapie (ankle injury: 75% chance of playing). Expected shape: 4-5-1.
Arsenal Predicted Starting XI & Lineup · 4-5-1
Official lineups confirmed 1 hour before kick-off.
Everton: what changed
Everton have scored 8 and conceded 7 in 7 league games, and last time out it was L 0–2 v Chelsea in GW7. Away from home they have 3 points from 3 games. Nothing flagged for Everton on the official FPL injury list as of 2026-10-21. Expected shape: 4-5-1.
By the numbers
- Arsenal: L 0–3 at Brighton & Hove Albion, W 2–1 v Leeds United, W 1–0 at Nottingham Forest.
- Everton: W 1–0 v Ipswich Town, D 2–2 at Hull City, L 0–2 v Chelsea.
- Table before this round: Arsenal 2nd (18 pts, GD +6), Everton 8th (10 pts, GD +1).
The deciding factor
Bukayo Saka against Everton's defence is the matchup to watch: Everton have conceded 7 in 7. In the other direction, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall faces the Arsenal defence that has conceded 5 in 7. FPL rates this fixture 3/5 for Arsenal and 5/5 for Everton, where 5 is hardest.
Fantasy angle
- Bukayo Saka (Arsenal, £9.6m): averaging 5.3 points a game (37 in total), FPL projects 2.5 for this round, 16.7% owned, on penalties.
- Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (Everton, £6.6m): averaging 5.0 points a game (35 in total), FPL projects 7.5 for this round, 6.1% owned.
- Declan Rice (Arsenal, £7.3m): averaging 5.1 points a game (36 in total), FPL projects 8.0 for this round, 11.2% owned.
- Clean-sheet angle: Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal, £6.0m) at home, with Arsenal the side our model rates less likely to concede (0.7 expected goals against).
- Differential: Benjamin White (Arsenal, £5.4m) is owned by just 4.3% and averages 5.3 points a game.
Verdict
Our model, built on 2026/27 goals scored and conceded, gives Arsenal a 51% win chance, a draw 29% and Everton 21%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline. Expected goals: 1.3 for Arsenal, 0.7 for Everton. Arsenal are the lean on the numbers, but only 7 games have been played, so treat it as a guide rather than a certainty.