AFC Bournemouth host Leeds United at Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth in Gameweek 9 on Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 GMT. AFC Bournemouth are 15th on 6 points from 7 games after Gameweek 7 (form DDLLW), Leeds United are 7th on 10 (form DWDLD). The FPL deadline is Saturday 31 October 2026, 11:00 GMT, so check team news before you lock your squad.
AFC Bournemouth: the story so far
AFC Bournemouth have scored 9 and conceded 13 in 7 league games, and in GW7 it finished W 2–0 v Sunderland. At home they have 5 points from 4 games. Official FPL list, 2026-10-24: Scott (thigh injury: Expected back 8 Nov). Expected shape: 4-5-1.
AFC Bournemouth Predicted Starting XI & Lineup · 4-5-1
Official lineups confirmed 1 hour before kick-off.
Leeds United: form check
Leeds United have scored 9 and conceded 6 in 7 league games, and in GW7 it finished D 1–1 v Manchester United. Away from home they have 4 points from 3 games. Official FPL list, 2026-10-24: Calvert-Lewin (foot injury: 50% chance of playing); Stach (foot injury: 50% chance of playing); Rodon (hamstring injury: Expected back 21 Nov); Okafor (thigh injury: 50% chance of playing). Expected shape: 5-4-1.
By the numbers
- AFC Bournemouth: L 0–1 v Liverpool, L 1–5 at Chelsea, W 2–0 v Sunderland.
- Leeds United: D 0–0 v Crystal Palace, L 1–2 at Arsenal, D 1–1 v Manchester United.
- Table after GW7: AFC Bournemouth 15th (6 pts, GD -4), Leeds United 7th (10 pts, GD +3).
The deciding factor
Marcus Tavernier against Leeds United's defence is the matchup to watch: Leeds United have conceded 6 in 7. In the other direction, Ethan Ampadu faces the AFC Bournemouth defence that has conceded 13 in 7. FPL rates this fixture 3/5 for AFC Bournemouth and 3/5 for Leeds United, where 5 is hardest.
FPL picks to watch
- Marcus Tavernier (AFC Bournemouth, £6.3m): averaging 6.0 points a game (42 in total), FPL projects 3.7 for this round, 13.5% owned.
- Ethan Ampadu (Leeds United, £5.3m): averaging 3.3 points a game (23 in total), FPL projects 0.7 for this round, 0.8% owned.
- Francisco Evanilson (AFC Bournemouth, £6.2m): averaging 5.3 points a game (37 in total), FPL projects 6.3 for this round, 6.0% owned.
- Clean-sheet angle: Jayden Bogle (Leeds United, £4.7m) away from home, with Leeds United the side our model rates less likely to concede (1.0 expected goals against).
- Differential: James Justin (Leeds United, £4.5m) is owned by just 2.2% and averages 4.9 points a game.
Our call
Our model, built on 2026/27 goals scored and conceded, gives AFC Bournemouth a 27% win chance, a draw 26% and Leeds United 47%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline. Expected goals: 1.0 for AFC Bournemouth, 1.5 for Leeds United. Leeds United are the lean on the numbers, but only 7 games have been played, so treat it as a guide rather than a certainty.